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Low Copy Number (LCN) |
USE OF LOW COPY NUMBER (LCN)
DNA IN FORENSIC INFERENCE
C. Murray, et al.
The Forensic Science Service,
London, UK
Published Online: 2001
ABSTRACT
Development of a low copy number DNA profiling method has allowed the detection
of very low levels of DNA. However, issues concerning the transfer and
persistence of LCN DNA have required further research to be carried out. This
has included studies of individuals' tendency to deposit and transfer DNA onto
surfaces they have touched. Additionally, the effect on DNA of some of the
enhancement treatments used on latent finger marks has been tested.
INTRODUCTION
Low copy number (LCN) DNA profiling using the SGM Plus multiplex (1) has been
used in casework since January 1999. The sensitivity of the profiling process
has been increased by raising the number of PCR cycles from 28 to 34. This
allows DNA to be detected at much lower quantities, even down to the level of a
single cell (2). Hence, strict guidelines are in place regarding the collection
and processing of samples, and also the interpretation of results (3,4).
The LCN method can be used to analyse samples which have simply been touched;
this follows findings reported by workers (5), who used 28 PCR cycles to obtain
genetic profiles from objects such as a telephone handset, pens and briefcase
handles. The authors also reported that the amount of DNA recovered varied
depending on the individual.
However, profiles obtained using LCN DNA analysis often originate from samples
that show no visible source of biological material, consequently no presumptive
test is available for contact traces. The question arises whether the profile is
actually relevant to a case. Specific caveats are written into the court
statements, pointing out that it is not possible to make conclusions about where
the DNA originated, when it was deposited, or about the transfer and persistence
of DNA. Further research into LCN DNA is driven by the need to answer these
issues.
Questions regarding transfer have been previously investigated (again using 28
PCR cycles) by Ladd et al. (6) who tested whether secondary transfer of DNA
could occur from individual A to individual B and then onto an object, or from
individual A to an object and then onto individual B. They found some minor
peaks attributable to secondary transfer but concluded that this was not likely
to be an issue when presenting analysis results to a court. Van Oorschot and
Jones reported that they had observed secondary transfer, as well as the
persistence of DNA on experimental items for up to 84 days and on a casework
item (a glove) for two years (5,7).
Finger marks found at a crime scene potentially offer two highly discriminating
forms of evidence. Where marks are not smeared there will be the fingerprint
ridge detail and the DNA of the blood or skin cells that have been transferred
to a surface on deposition of the mark. Marks are usually enhanced using light
sources and chemicals to allow greater visualization, but a dilemma may be faced
by investigators who also wish to obtain a DNA profile. It becomes necessary to
be aware of any detrimental effects that enhancement methods may have on DNA
profiling.
Previous research has been carried out in this field, predominantly into the
effect of chemical treatments on marks made in blood. Several authors have
reported that cyanoacrylate (CNA), when used to enhance bloody finger marks, has
no detrimental effect on subsequent DNA analysis (8, 9, 10, 11). Zamir et al,
2000 have reported that CNA does not effect STR profiling of latent marks. The
effect of dactyloscopic powders on DNA analysis has also been investigated (10,
11, 13). While powders such as White and Black powder were not found to inhibit
DNA processing, metallic powders were found to limit the amount of DNA that
could be recovered and profiled from latent marks (14). Two chemical treatments
often applied to marks on paper are ninhydrin and 1, 8 diazafluoren-9-one (DFO).
These enhancers have been observed to have little adverse effect on DNA
profiling from marks in blood (11, 15), for ninhydrin this applies even when the
mark has been left in its enhanced state for up to 56 days (16). Physical
developer and iodine are also often applied to enhance marks on paper, both have
been reported to degrade DNA in latent and bloody marks respectively (17, 8).
This document examines further studies on shedder type (the tendency of an
individual to deposit his/her DNA profile on a touched surface), transfer and
persistence of LCN DNA, and discusses research that has been carried out to
determine the effects of various enhancement methods on the DNA integrity of
latent finger marks.
SHEDDER INDEX
A group of 29 people were tested for their ability to deposit their DNA profile
onto touched objects. It was found that a typical good shedder leaves a complete
profile on the surface of a plastic tube after contact of only 10 seconds,
whereas at the other end of the scale a poor shedder will leave only a few
alleles, possibly with several loci dropping out completely. The results from
this group suggest that with the collection of data from more individuals, a
continuous distribution would result.
PRIMARY TRANSFER
Work was carried out to determine whether DNA profiles could be obtained from
clothing; specifically, plain white t-shirts. After 8 hours wear, more of the
wearer's DNA was recovered from the front of the t-shirt than the back.
Targeting the neck area maximized the chance of obtaining a useful result. In a
series of simulated assaults, where one person grabbed the shoulder of another
for a period of 30 seconds, mixed profiles were obtained from the grabbed area
of the t-shirts. The "assailant" always contributed the major component to this
mixture, regardless of his/her shedder type.
SECONDARY TRANSFER
Experiments were carried out to determine whether it was possible for individual
A to transfer his DNA to individual B through contact, who could in turn
transfer individual A's DNA onto an object. We began with a scenario which was
most likely to yield a result: a good DNA shedder (A) shook hands with a poor
shedder (B), who then gripped a plastic tube for 10 seconds. The results from
swabs of the tubes showed that on five separate occasions all of the good
shedder's profile was recovered, with none of the poor shedder's alleles
appearing.
The experiment was then repeated, but with the introduction of a delay of 30
minutes between the time of the handshake and the tube-holding. The results
indicated that although the poor shedder deposited some alleles, secondary
transfer of the good shedder's DNA still occurred.
PERSISTENCE
Many factors may affect the persistence of low level DNA; time, temperature,
humidity, etc. While it is unreasonable to test every combination of variables,
some generic experiments have been undertaken and certain scenarios addressed.
A time-study of the persistence of DNA is currently underway, where touched
items have been stored at room temperature and tested to find out how much DNA
can be recovered after certain periods of time. Full profiles were still
recovered from surfaces touched by a good shedder -- even after 4 months.
Whereas a marked decrease in the recovery of the poor shedder's DNA was
observed.
An exchange of identical wrist-watches between certain shedder types was carried
out to ascertain the period of time needed for the original wearer's DNA profile
to be replaced by that of the new wearer. Generally we found that a good shedder
completely replaced the original wearer's profile in 2-3 weeks, and after only a
few days had become the major component of a mixture. An example of this is
shown in Figure 4. In contrast, a poor shedder typically took around 2 weeks
just to comprise the major component.
ENHANCED LATENT FINGER MARKS
The effect of various treatments used to enhance latent marks on either porous
or non-porous surfaces was investigated. The finger marks used for these
analyses were all deposited by the same individual on either acetate or paper
for non-porous and porous surfaces respectively. The chemical treatments tested
were CNA (in and out of a vacuum), aluminium powder, metal deposition, DFO,
ninhydrin and physical developer. The effect of these chemicals on STR profiling
was observed on freshly enhanced marks and marks that had been left for 100 days
before DNA analysis was carried out.
It was observed that overall, better recovery of DNA was possible from marks
deposited on the non-porous surface. Marks enhanced with CNA, aluminium powder
and metal deposition yielded full DNA profiles when DNA processing was carried
within a week of treatment. However, recovery of DNA decreased when marks had
been left in the enhanced state for 100 days. While some of the drop in DNA
recovery can perhaps be accounted for by general degradation, the inability to
recover any alleles from the marks treated with metal deposition suggests that
some chemicals do radically effect DNA over time.
A similar result was obtained from ninhydrin treated marks. Further observation
of the results appears to indicate that the recovery of DNA from vacuum CNA
treated marks increases over time post enhancement. However, this is unlikely to
be the case. The reason for improved recovery may be due to two different pieces
of vacuum CNA equipment being used for each sample set. Slight modifications to
enhancement methods have been shown previously to improve recovery of DNA from
marks in blood.
An additional experiment using aluminium powder was also carried out. The
relative levels of profile recovery from powdered marks in situ and from tape
lifts of the marks were investigated. It was found that equal amounts of DNA
could be recovered from the mark in situ and the lifted mark, both yielding
approximately 70% of the fingerprint donors profile. This finding was important
as it suggested that a mark could be lifted and preserved on tape for ridge
detail analysis while the original deposit could be swabbed for DNA.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~
REFERENCES
1. Cotton E.A., et al.
Validation of the AMPFlSTR SGM Plus system for use in
forensic casework
Forensic Sci. Int., Vol. 112, p.151 (2000)
2. Findlay, I., et al.
DNA fingerprinting from single cells
Nature, Vol. 389, p. 555 (1997)
3. Gill, P., et al.
An investigation of the rigor of interpretation rules for STRs derived from
less than 100pg of DNA.
Forensic Sci. Int., Vol. 112, p.17 (2000)
4. Whitaker, J.P., Cotton, E.A., Gill, P.
A comparison of the characteristics of DNA profiles for
standard STR and low copy number (LCN) STR analysis
Forensic Sci. Int., Vol. 52, p. 345 (2001)
5. van Oorschot, R.A.H., Jones, M.K.
DNA fingerprints from fingerprints
Nature, Vol. 387, p.767 (1997)
6. Ladd, C., et al.
A systematic analysis of secondary DNA transfer
J. Forensic Sci., Vol. 44, p.1270 (1999)
7. van Oorschot, R.A.H., et al.
Retrieval of DNA from touched objects
In: Proc. 14th Int. Symp. Forensic Sci. (1998)
Australian / New Zealand Forensic Science Society
8. Lee, H.C., et al.
The effect of presumptive test, latent fingerprint and some other reagents
and materials on subsequent serological identification, genetic marker and DNA
testing in bloodstains
J. Forensic Ident., Vol. 39, p.339 (1989)
9. Shipp, E., et al.
Effects of argon laser light, alternate source light, and cyanoacrylate
fuming on DNA typing of human bloodstains
J. Forensic Sci., Vol. 38, p.184 (1993)
10. Newall, P.J., et al.
Successful amplification and STR typing of bloodstains subjected to
fingerprint treatment by cyanoacrylate fuming Can. Soc. Forens. Sci. J.,
Vol. 29, p.1 (1996)
11. Roux, C., Gill, K., Sutton, J., Lennard C.
Effect of fingerprint enhancement techniques on the DNA analysis of
bloodstains
J. Forensic Ident., Vol. 49, p. 357 (1999)
12. Zamir, A., Springer, E., Glattstein, B..
STR typing of DNA extracted from adhesive tape after processing for
fingerprints
J. Forensic Sci., Vol. 45, p.687 (2000)
13. Van Rentergeum P., Leonard, D., De Greef C.
Use of latent fingerprints as a source of DNA for genetic identification.
In: Progress in Forensic Genetics 8. Elsevier Science, p.501 (2000)
14. Van Hoofstat, D.E.O., et al.
DNA typing of fingerprints and skin debris:
Sensitivity of capillary electrophoresis in forensic applications using
multiplex PCR.
In: Proceedings from the 2nd European Symposium of
Human Identification
Innsbruck, Austria, Promega Corporation, p. 131 (1998)
15. Fregeau, C.J., Germain, O., Fourney, R.M.
Fingerprint enhancement revisited
and the effects of blood enhancement chemicals on subsequent
Profiler Plus TM
fluorescent short tandem repeat DNA analysis of
fresh and aged bloody fingerprints.
J. Forensic Sci., Vol. 45, p.354 (1999)
16. Stein, C, Kyeck S.H., Henssge, C.
DNA typing of fingerprint reagent treated biological stains
J. Forensic Sci., Vol. 41, p.1012 (1996)
17. Presley, L.A., Baumstark, A.L., Dixon, A.
The effects of specific latent fingerprint and questioned document
examinations on the amplification and typing of the HLA DQ alpha gene region in
forensic casework.
J. Forensic Sci., Vol. 38, p.1028 (1993)
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
* Note: Low copy number (LCN) testing is used when only very small samples of DNA are available. The techniques and results are, theoretically, just as valid as any other type of DNA testing. Problems can arise, however, with contamination of samples from other sources. In general, this is more likely to result in a guilty person going free rather than an innocent person being convicted of a crime. This is because extraneous DNA which contaminates a sample may make it hard, or impossible, to show that the 'scene of crime' sample being tested comes from a guilty suspect. On the other hand, an innocent suspect's DNA should not occur in a tested sample unless the laboratory has been grossly negligent in its procedures.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Published Online: 2001
Croation Medical
J., Vol. 42, p. 229 (2001)
Application of Low Copy Number
DNA Profiling
Peter Gill
Forensic Science Service, Trident Court, Birmingham, UK
Generally, the lower limits of sensitivity recommended by manufacturers of short
tandem repeat (STR) multiplex systems are in the region of 250 pg. Multiplexes
usually work at their optimum efficiency when 1 ng of DNA is analyzed (1,2) and
not more than 28-30 cycles of amplification are carried out. Interpretation of
DNA profiles is assisted by the use of systems that are not too sensitive. This
is important because the scientist often needs to associate the presence of a
bloodstain (or other evidence) with the DNA profile itself. A highly sensitive
system that may reveal DNA from sources other than the body fluid analyzed would
require careful consideration when the evidence was interpreted. For this
reason, validation exercises often include studies on the effect of rough
handling, coughing, or sneezing onto garments to determine if it is possible to
transfer casually DNA to evidential material.
Nevertheless, forensic scientists always seek to increase the sensitivity of
their methods and the easiest way to do this is simply to raise the number of
polymerase chain reaction (PCR) amplification cycles. Findlay et al (3)
demonstrated that single (buccal) cells could be analyzed when 34 cycles were
used with second generation multiplex (SGM) system. Interpretation was not
straightforward. Additional alleles were observed, the sizes of stutters were
enhanced, and allele drop out was common. However, such profiles may be
interpreted if robust guidelines are used. Subsequently, increasing the
sensitivity of PCR by raising the number of cycles has been used to increase the
range of evidence types analyzed. For example, Wiegand and Kleiber (4) and
Wiegand, et al. (5) analyzed epithelial cells transferred from an assailant
after strangulation using 30-31 cycles of PCR. Van Hoofstat, et al. (6) analyzed
fingerprints from grips of tools with 28-40 cycles. Barbaro, et al. (7) reported
analysis of STRs from hair shafts in the absence of the root using 35-43 cycles.
Increased PCR cycles are routinely used by anthropologists and forensic
scientists to identify ancient DNA from bones. We (8) used 38-43 cycles to
analyze STRs from 70-year-old bone from the Romanov family. Schmerer, et al. (9)
and Burger, et al, (10) analyzed STRs from bone thousands of years old (60 and
50 PCR cycles, respectively). Some other authors used modified PCR methods, such
as a nested primer PCR strategy (11). The nested primer PCR strategy used a
first round amplification with 40 cycles, with subsequent analysis of a portion
with further 20-30 cycles. This method was used to analyze DNA from charred
human remains and minute amounts of blood.
Comparison of both different methods available to analyze DNA in amounts less
than 100 pg and varying cycling conditions between 28-60 cycles showed that the
optimum for both SGM and AMPflSTR-SGM Plus systems (Applied Biosystems, Foster
City, CA, USA) was 34 cycles (12). There was little to be gained by increasing
the cycle number further, since it did not result in increased sensitivity, but
encouraged artifact production. The extreme sensitivity of the method suggested
that analysis should only be attempted in a sterile environment to reduce the
possibility of contamination from personnel within the laboratory itself.
Nevertheless, all methods used to analyze low copy number (LCN) DNA suffer from
several disadvantages that are primarily derived from stochastic variation. When
present in low copy number, a molecule that is amplified by chance during the
early rounds of the PCR is likely to be preferentially amplified. There are,
therefore, several consequences that cannot be avoided:
a) Allele drop out may occur because one allele of a heterozygote locus can be
preferentially amplified;
b) Stutters may be preferentially analyzed -- these are sometimes known as false
alleles;
c) The method is prone to sporadic contamination -- amplifying alleles that are
unassociated with the crime stain, or sample.
This means that different DNA profiles may be observed after replicate PCR
analyses. Tarbelet et al (13) suggested a method of replicated analyses that
comprised a rule that an allele could only be scored if observed at least twice
in replicate samples. This theory was expanded by us (12), who adopted
Tarbelet's duplication rule and demonstrated that it was conservative in
relation to a new likelihood ratio (LR) method that assessed DNA profiles in
relation to sporadic allelic contaminants, stutters, and allelic drop-out.
Provided that the level of sporadic contamination was not high (<30% per locus),
the duplication method was demonstrated to be conservative relative to the
likelihood ratio method.
Interpretation of LCN DNA Profiles
In conjunction with the increased use of DNA profiling, there has been a
parallel development in interpretation methodology. Cooke, et al. (14,15) and
Evett (16) introduced the notion of the "hierarchy of propositions". This has
led to a much deeper understanding of the interpretative process. However, there
is currently considerable lack of understanding about issues of transfer and
persistence, and further work is being undertaken in this area.
Hierarchy of Propositions
The hierarchy of propositions takes as its premise that scientific evidence
may only be interpreted if at least two competing propositions are considered.
The top level, level III, of the hierarchy represents the offense level. These
are the propositions that are most usually seen to be the province of the jury.
For example:
a) The suspect is the offender.
b) The suspect is unconnected with the incident.
These embody the assumption that an offense has indeed been committed and, in
general, this would seem to be a level that scientists would prefer to avoid.
The second level, level II, represents the activity level. These would be pairs
of propositions that the scientist may feel qualified to address, given adequate
information about the case circumstances. For example:
a) The suspect broke the window at the scene.
b) The suspect is unconnected with the incident.
In general, such propositions invoke the classic forensic considerations of
transference and persistence. The third level, level I, is the source level,
which comprises propositions that relate to the origin of recovered material.
For example:
a) The bloodstain came from the suspect.
b) The bloodstain came from some unknown person.
Such propositions would be appropriate when the circumstances are such that the
scientist is unable to express an opinion with regard to particular actions or
activities. Inevitably, the lower the level of the propositions, the more of the
interpretation is left to the jury.
When samples comprise <100 pg of DNA, even level I propositions may be
inappropriate. We may have a DNA profile from the crime sample but because of
several uncertainties we may not be justified in inferring that it came from the
stain that was sampled.
Because of this, we have introduced a new idea: "sub-level I propositions". For
example:
a) The DNA profile came from the suspect.
b) The DNA profile came from some unknown person.
Addressing propositions at this level means that the scientist is unable to
express a substantive opinion of how the DNA arrived at the site from which it
was recovered, or even whether it came from the stain that may have been the
reason that sampling was carried out. All considerations between the sub-level I
propositions and the level III propositions that the jury must ultimately
address must be left to the court, though the scientist has a clear duty to
advise the court on the issues that are relevant.
Association of the DNA Profile with the Evidential Material Analyzed
There are two broad categories of evidence types: discrete (e.g. bone, hair)
and non-discrete (e.g. blood stains). When using LCN, it is generally easier to
associate a DNA profile with a discrete evidence type.
This is because the analysis of bone samples is not attempted without removing
the outermost layer by physical methods (e.g. sandpaper) to minimize the
possible contamination from modern DNA. Similarly, hair shafts can be washed in
a detergent solution to remove adhering DNA. This cannot be done with evidence
types that are not discrete, eg, blood stained cloth, hence the chance is
increased that a DNA profile may not be directly associated with the evidential
body fluid that is "apparently" analyzed.
Because there is a serious possibility of transferring LCN DNA from a modern
source, to either minimize the chance of contamination or to identify an
occurrence, we use the following guidelines:
1. DNA extractions and setting up PCR reactions are carried out in a dedicated
laboratory.
2. Personnel wear disposable laboratory coats, gloves, and face masks.
3. Benches and equipment are frequently treated with bleach (or equivalent) and
irradiated with UV light.
4. PCR amplification is carried out in a separate laboratory or laboratory area.
5. Negative controls are used with every test to demonstrate absence of
contamination.
6. PCR tests are duplicated wherever possible. All results are compared against
a staff database. A database to eliminate investigators of crime scenes as
potential contributors is also under preparation.
Defining when DNA Transfer Can Occur
Before and after a crime event, there is the potential for adventitious
transfer of cells. Note that the term contamination is reserved for transfer of
DNA after the crime event. Adventitious transfer and laboratory contamination
usually involves low levels of DNA.
The association of body fluid and the DNA profile is not implicit. If the body
fluid giving a positive presumptive test is small or degraded then the DNA
profile may have originated from an alternative source. For example, a fresh
saliva stain, the latter solely contributing to the observed result, may mask a
small-degraded blood-spot. The scientist cannot infer either the type of cell
donating the DNA or the time when the cells were deposited.
An estimate of the quantity of DNA is useful to assist in the interpretation of
the relevance of a DNA profile. For example, if a visible fresh bloodstain
yields several micrograms of DNA, it is not unreasonable to associate the DNA
profile with the bloodstain according to level I proposition. However, the
association is uncertain if the bloodstain is minute, old, and yields just a few
picograms of DNA. It may be appropriate to use a sub-level I proposition.
Inevitably, there is a direct relationship between the quantity of DNA present
and the relevance of the evidence. The interpretation of the case can only
follow after an assessment of all the available evidence, taking into
consideration the scenarios offered by prosecution and defense lawyers.
Assessment of Contamination Risks
DNA can be transferred at any time before, during, and after the crime. The
foregoing discussion has covered the possibility of adventitious transfer at a
period before the crime and it is implicit that the DNA profile matches a
suspect. If the DNA profile does not match the suspect, then post-crime transfer
must be considered. Contamination is transfer of DNA after the crime event.
Potential sources of contamination are:
a) Investigative officers, pathologists, etc, at the crime scene;
b) Laboratory staff;
c) Cross contamination from samples processed in the laboratory (e.g. by
aerosol);
d) Plastic-ware contamination (may be contaminated at the manufacturing source).
Whereas a) and b) can be covered by reference to staff databases, and databases
of investigating officers, c) and d) are more difficult to detect but are
minimized by good laboratory design, staff wearing anti-contamination clothing
and face masks, and UV sterilization of plastic-ware.
Transfer of DNA by individuals unassociated with the crime before the crime
event itself is defined as adventitious transfer. When a DNA profile does not
match the suspect, the following possibilities apply:
a) The suspect is innocent and the perpetrator profile has been visualized.
b) Cells have been transferred by an innocent individual before the crime
(perpetrator has not shed cells) "adventitious transfer".
c) Cells have been transferred by an investigator after the crime event
(perpetrator has not shed cells) "contamination".
Note that mixtures may show DNA profiles arising from a combination of the three
different events listed.
The circumstances of the victim leading up to the crime event is unknown to the
scientist, hence the possibilities of adventitious transfer cannot be directly
ascertained. Once the crime has been discovered, the scene and the associated
evidence enter a controlled environment, where the risk of contamination is
minimized by the adoption of good laboratory and investigative practice.
The primary risk of contamination is wrongful exclusion ? particularly if the
contaminant masks the perpetrator?s profile. For the converse to apply ?
wrongful inclusion, either tube mix-up or gross contamination (e.g., use of
pipette tips contaminated in the laboratory ? e.g., used twice) would be
required. Good laboratory practice renders this a virtual impossibility and is
not considered further here.
Current Reporting of Sub-level I Propositions in Statements
Because of uncertainties that surround persistence and transfer, the
statements are written to reflect this and interpretation usually proceeds
according to sub-level I principles. Examples of the wording used in statements
are given below. Interpretation is dependent upon a full analysis of the
circumstances of the crime and based on a careful consideration of all of the
non-DNA evidence.
Observation of Mixtures
With LCN, mixtures are commonly encountered. It cannot be determined whether
recovered DNA profiles are associated with a crime event. An example statement
follows:
The observation of mixed DNA STR profiles (ie, from more than one individual)
can be anticipated. E.G. From past experience it is not unusual to detect DNA
profiles on items that match the profile of an individual who has habitually
worn that item. However, currently we have no information to assist with
questions of transfer and persistence of low levels of DNA on items such as
XXXXXX. Thus consideration should be given as to how the DNA detected has been
transferred to that item, and consequently to the relevance of finding profiles
matching the individuals in the case.?
In the following, two alternatives are considered. No reference is made about
the origin of the body fluid type ? it is simply stated that DNA was recovered
from the item. ?Either the majority of the DNA originated from Mr. X; or the
majority of the DNA originated from someone other than and unrelated to Mr. X.
If this DNA had, in fact, originated from Mr. X, then I would expect to obtain
matching profiles.?
In the summary section the following paragraphs are included ? this statement
was specifically written for a case where DNA from a watchband matched a
suspect.
When very small amounts of DNA are analyzed, special considerations arise as
follows:
a) Although a DNA profile has been obtained, it is not possible to identify the
type of cells from which the DNA originated, neither is it possible to state
when the cells were deposited.
b) It is not possible to make any conclusion about transfer and persistence of
DNA in this case. It is not possible to estimate when the suspect last wore the
watch, if it is his DNA.
c) Because the DNA test is very sensitive, it is not unexpected to find
mixtures. If the potential origins of DNA profiles cannot be identified, it does
not necessarily follow that they are relevant to this case, since transfer of
cells can occur as a result of casual contact.
Effectively, the strength of the LCN DNA evidence is decreased compared to
conventional DNA analysis. This inevitably arises from uncertainties relating to
the method of transfer of DNA to a surface and uncertainties relating to when
the DNA was transferred. It is emphasized that the relevance of the DNA evidence
in a case can only be assessed by a concurrent consideration of all the non-DNA
evidence. Research is currently being undertaken to devise a probabilistic
Bayesian method that encapsulates the DNA and non-DNA evidence.
~~~~~~~~
References
~~~~~~~~
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